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The Dual Nature of Forecast Targeting and Instrument Rules: A Comment on Michael Woodford’s ‘Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy: Policy Rules in Practice,’
Forecast Targeting Instrument Rules
2015/8/3
I thank Michael Woodford for writing such a thoughtful and useful paper on
monetary policy. It is filled with fascinating ideas and insights, each carefully explained.
As befits this final “Looking ...
The Dual Nature of Forecast Targeting and Instrument Rules: A Comment on Michael Woodford’s ‘Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy: Policy Rules in Practice
Policy Rules Practice
2015/8/3
Michael Woodford’s chapter is fi lled with fascinating ideas and insights,
each carefully explained. Most importantly, he proposes an ambitious
future research program with the specifi c practical p...
This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has b...
Economic forecast
economic forecast natural resources economic performance domestic demand
2011/9/22
The article presents an economic forecast for Canada for 2010 to 2011. There is good outlook for Asia, Canada's source of natural resources. The nation's economic performance is said to be hindered by...
Assessing Credit Quality from the Equity Market: Can a Structural Approach Forecast Credit Ratings?
Credit rating default probability distance-to-default structural credit risk model Cote de crédit
2011/8/22
We investigate the empirical performance of default probability prediction based on Merton's (1974) structural credit risk model. More specifically, we study if distance-to-default is a sufficient sta...
The Case for Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy
inflation-forecast targeting control short-term interest rates monetary policy inflation-forecast targeting
2011/8/21
At central banks around the world, including the Bank of England, Sweden's Riksbank, Norway's Norges Bank, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, policy is conducted on the basis of inflation-forecast t...
Forecast of demand through the differential description of their effects
demand prediction firm dynamics competitors influence customers influence substitutes influence and parameters of influence utility.
2014/4/2
This demand planning method is based on the Porter’s competitive influences of the brand. Concretely, it is based on the deterministic formulation of some particular factors which are influencing the ...
Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?
Phillips curve trend-cycle model moving average great moderation
2014/3/18
Weexamine whether the U.S. rate of price inflation has become harder to forecast and, to the extent that it has, what changes in the inflation process have made it so. The main finding is that the uni...
A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination
Combination forecasts principal component regression James-Stein estimation
2014/3/18
A panel of ex-ante forecasts of a single time series is modeled as a dynamic factor model, where the conditional expectation is the single unobserved factor. When applied to out-of-sample forecasting,...