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We derive probabilistic limit theorems that reveal the intricate structure of the phase transitions in a mean-field version of the Blume–Emery–Griffiths model [Phys. Rev. A 4 (1971) 1071–1077]. These ...
In weather forecasting, nonhomogeneous regression is used to statistically postprocess forecast ensembles in order to obtain calibrated predictive distributions. For wind speed forecasts, the regressi...
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical method for post-processing forecast ensembles of atmospheric variables, obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models, in order to ...
Probabilistic k-nearest neighbour (PKNN) classification has been introduced to improve the performance of original k-nearest neighbour (KNN) classification algorithm by explicitly modelling uncertaint...
A popular approach for large scale data annotation tasks is crowdsourcing, wherein each data point is labeled by multiple noisy annotators. We consider the problem of inferring ground truth from noisy...
In this paper, we present a unifying framework which reduces the construction of probabilistic component analysis techniques to a mere selection of the latent neighbourhood via the prior, thus providi...
Weather forecasting is mostly based on the outputs of deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions result in forecast ensembles w...
Due to its low computational cost, Lasso is an attractive regularization method for high-dimensional statistical settings. In this paper, we consider multivariate counting processes depending on an un...
Optogenetics is a new tool to stimulate genetically targeted neuronal circuits us-ing light flashes that can be delivered at high frequencies. It has shown promise for studying neural circuits that ar...
We consider the problem of training probabilistic conditional random fields (CRFs) in the context of a task where performance is measured using a specific loss function. While maximum likelihood is th...
Understanding functional organization of genetic information is a major challenge in modern biology. Following the initial publication of the human genome sequence in 2001, advances in high-throughput...
We assume data independently sampled froma mixture distribution on the unit ball of RD withK+1 components: the first component is a uniform distribution on that ball representing outliers and the oth...
In this work the approach to the reduite is made in a simple and unified way. More precisely, we use the same probabilistic technique to study the optimal stopping problem associated with the redui...
It is shown that for every sequence (x,) of elements of 1'; the following two properties are equivalent: (4 bJk1 12 UTI. (b) (lS,/nllz, FJ is a quasimartingale, where S, = E,x,, (4 being a sequenc...
We present a short probabilistic proof of a weak convergence result for the number of cuts needed to isolate the root of a random recursive tree. The proof is based on a coupling related to a certain ...

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