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Overdetermination in Intuitive Causal Decision Theory
causal decision theory causation overdetermination preemption trumping decisional overdetermination
2016/6/12
Causal decision theory defines a rational action as the one that tends to cause the best outcomes. If we adopt counterfactual or probabilistic theories of causation, then we may face problems in overd...
Emergence of Gricean Maxims from Multi-Agent Decision Theory
Gricean Maxims Multi-Agent Decision Theory
2015/6/15
Grice characterized communication in terms of the cooperative principle, which enjoins speakers to make only contributions that serve the evolving conversational goals. We show that the cooperative pr...
Emergence of Gricean Maxims from Multi-Agent Decision Theory
Gricean Maxims Multi-Agent Decision Theory
2015/6/10
Grice characterized communication in terms of the cooperative principle, which enjoins speakers to make only contributions that serve the evolving conversational goals. We show that the cooperative pr...
Toward the Integration of Personality Theory and Decision Theory in the Explanation of Economic and Health Behavior
personality theory decision theory strategic behavior credit score smoking obesity prisoners’ dilemma job performance heavy truck accident truckload turnover trucker
2012/10/23
Trait-based personality psychology and economics have taken different approaches to understanding individual differences, with the former emphasizing variables derived from the factor analysis of trai...
Estimation of a quantity of interest in uncertainty analysis: Some help from Bayesian decision theory
Uncertainty analysis Decision theory Epistemic uncertainty Bayes estimation Predictive estimation
2012/4/22
In the context of risk analysis under uncertainty, we focus here on the problem of estimating a so-called quantity of interest of an uncertainty analysis problem, i.e. a given feature of the probabili...
Some thoughts on Le Cam's statistical decision theory
likelihood ratios randomized estimators Skorohod-Dudley almost-sure representation Le Cam's statistical decision theory
2011/9/15
Abstract: The paper contains some musings about the abstractions introduced by Lucien Le Cam into the asymptotic theory of statistical inference and decision theory. A short, self-contained proof of a...
Abstract: We argue that, contrary to conventional wisdom, decision theory is not invariant to the physical environment in which a decision is made. Specifically, we show that a decision maker (DM) wit...
Causation, decision theory, and Bell's theorem: a quantum analogue of the Newcomb problem
causation decision theory Bell's theorem quantum foundations
2009/11/18
I apply some of the lessons from quantum theory, in particular from Bell's theorem, to a debate on the foundations of decision theory and causation. By tracing a formal analogy between the basic assum...
Quantum Probability and Decision Theory, Revisited
Quantum Mechanics Everett Interpretation
2008/4/22
An extended analysis is given of the program, originally suggested by Deutsch, of solving the probability problem in the Everett interpretation by means of decision theory. Deutsch's own proof is disc...
A major problem facing no-collapse interpretations of quantum mechanics in the tradition of Everett is how to understand the probabilistic axiom of quantum mechanics (the Born rule) in the context of ...