搜索结果: 31-45 共查到“知识库 宏观经济学”相关记录1421条 . 查询时间(4.52 秒)
“高债务-高税负-通缩”背景下中国实体经济的发展困局及破解思路
高债务-高税负-通缩 中国实体经济发展困局 破解思路
2016/11/25
当前"高债务-高税负-通缩"三重叠加效应造成的中国实体经济发展困局,已成为中国经济下行的主导因素。其不仅造成中国实体经济成为诱发各种宏观经济风险爆发的来源,也导致中国传统宏观调控政策工具的失效。而且,其造成中国宏观经济供给侧面的恶化,进一步导致需求侧面动力机制的弱化乃至恶化,对中国新常态下维持中高速经济增长造成显著的负面效应。针对造成中国实体经济部门"高债务-高税负-通缩"的成因分析,可行的改革措...
This paper presents the results of a laboratory experiment designed to investigate whether the option of a Prize Linked Savings (PLS) product alters the likelihood that subjects choose to delay paymen...
Economic integration, industrial specialization, and the asymmetry of macroeconomic fluctuations
Capital market integration Monetary union
2015/9/21
We show empirically that regions with a more specialized production structure exhibit
output fluctuations that are less correlated with those of other regions (less ‘symmetric’
fluctuati...
Economic Integration, Industrial Specialization, and the Asymmetry of Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Economic integration EMU risk sharing
2015/9/21
We show empirically that regions with a more specialized production structure exhibit output °uctuations that are less correlated with those of other regions (less \symmetric" °uctuations). Combined w...
Excess Capacity and Heterogeneity in the Fiscal Multiplier: Evidence from the Obama Stimulus Package
Capacity Heterogeneity
2015/9/21
We estimate local multipliers from the ARRA (Obama stimulus) bill using cross-county variation
in expenditure. We use within-state variation, and include other demographic controls as well
as a pred...
Measuring Intangible Capital and Its Contribution to Economic Growth in Europe
Measuring Intangible Capital Economic Growth
2015/9/21
This paper describes the state of the art in the measurement of intangible capital and its
contribution to economic growth, with a focus on an international comparison of intangible
investment int...
INNOVATION, INTANGIBLES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: TOWARDS A COMPREHENSIVE ACCOUNTING OF THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
INTANGIBLES ECONOMIC GROWTH:
2015/9/21
We live in an era of rapid, almost dizzying, innovation in products and processes. These
innovations have improved consumer welfare through the introduction of new goods and
services, improvements...
Infrastructure Effectiveness as a Determinant of Economic Growth: How Well You Use it May Be More Important than How Much You Have
Economic Growth Infrastructure Effectiveness
2015/9/21
Most contemporary explanations of economic growth assign a prominent
role to capital formation. This includes the huge literate of the sources of
economic growth in the tradition of Solow (1957) and...
Getting economic depreciation “right” is an important step in developing accurate
estimates of capital incomes and stocks and, by extension, for tax policy, financial accounting,
and for empirical...
The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve:A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach
Term structure interest rates macroeconomic fundamentals factor model state-space model
2015/9/18
We estimate a model that summarizes the yield curve using latent factors (specifically, level,slope, and curvature) and also includes observable macroeconomic variables (specifically, real activity,in...
Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions
Business cycle Expansion Recession State space model Macroeconomic forecasting Dynamic factor model Contraction Turning point
2015/9/18
We construct a framework for measuring economic activity at high frequency, potentially in real time. We use a variety of stock and flow data observed at mixed frequencies (including very high frequen...
Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB:A Tale of Two Countries
DSGE Models Government Spending Multiplier Japan Multiple Equilibria Nonlinear Filtering Nonlinear Solution Methods Sunspots
2015/9/18
We propose and solve a small-scale New-Keynesian model with Markov sunspotshocks that move the economy between a targeted-inflation regime and a deflationregime and fit it to data from the U.S. and Ja...
Improving GDP Measurement:A Measurement-Error Perspective
Income Output expenditure business cycle expansion contraction recession turning point state-space model dynamic factor model forecast combination
2015/9/18
We provide a new measure of historical U.S. GDP growth, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the noisy expenditure-side and income-side GDPestimates. The quarter-by-quarter val...
Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring:Real Activity,Inflation,and Interactions
Nowcasting Prices Wages Business cycle Expansion Contraction Recession Turning point State-space model Dynamic factor model
2015/9/18
We sketch a framework for monitoring macroeconomic activity in real-time andpush it in new directions. In particular, we focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but...
Electoral Politics, Interest Groups, and the Size of Government
Electoral Politics Interest Groups the Size of Government
2015/9/18
Electoral Politics, Interest Groups, and the Size of Government.