搜索结果: 16-30 共查到“知识库 风险评价与失效分析”相关记录108条 . 查询时间(0.953 秒)
The evaluation of lifesaving programs whose benefits extend into the future involves two discounting issues.
The intragenerational discounting problem is how to express, in age-; dollars, reductions ...
Valuing Future Risks to Life
Life Future Risks
2015/9/18
nvironmental policies that alter future mortality rates may affect both current and
future generations. This paper examines willingness to pay for future risk reductions from the
perspective of the ...
Adapting to Unknown Smoothness via Wavelet Shrinkage
Minimax Decision theory Stein's Unbiased Estimate of Risk
2015/8/20
We attempt to recover a function of unknown smoothness from noisy, sampled
data. We introduce a procedure, SureShrink, which suppresses noise by thresholding
the empirical wavelet coecients. The th...
Bond Risk Premia
Bond Risk Premia central result
2015/7/23
We study time variation in expected excess bond returns. We run regressions of
one-year excess returns on initial forward rates. We find that a single factor, a
single tent-shaped linear combi...
We specify a life-cycle model of consumption, labor supply and job mobility
in an economy with search frictions. We distinguish different sources of risk,
including shocks to productivity, job arr...
We develop a structural econometric model to estimate risk preferences from data
on deductible choices in auto insurance contracts. We account for adverse selection
by modeling unobserved heterogene...
ìBig dataîand statistical techniques to score potential transactions have transformed insurance and credit markets. In this paper, we observe that these widely-used statistical scores summarize a...
供应链订货时机协调: 一个风险厌恶的视角
风险厌恶 订货时机 供应链协调
2016/11/11
短生命周期产品的订货时机而言,零售商通常偏好延迟订货,而制造商一般鼓励零售商预先订货,制造商和零售商对于订货时机的选择偏好通常是冲突的,对此进行协调可以提高供应链效率。目前,关于供应链订货时机的文献大多假定企业是风险中性的,遵循风险厌恶假设的文献较少。由一个风险厌恶型制造商和风险中性零售商组成的二级供应链中,基于报童模型,探讨了制造商的风险厌恶对供应链订货时机的影响,研究发现多数情况下供应链将处于...
基于FS模型的设计施工总承包联合体领导-成员风险分配策略分析
设计施工总承包 联合体 Stackelburg博弈 FS模型 风险分配
2016/11/11
合理的风险分配是实施设计施工总承包模式的重要保障。在分析联合体成员公平偏好的基础上,通过对FS模型的改进,构建了联合体牵头方与联合体成员之间的Stackelberg博弈模型,从联合体成员嫉妒负效用以及同情正效用两方面,对联合体牵头方的最优风险分配以及联合体成员的最优风险投入进行了均衡分析。最后,采用调研获取的参数分析了不同风险承担比例下联合体成员的公平偏好系数对联合体成员风险投入、联合体成员效用、...
Risk perception, attitudes towards risk and risk management: evidence and implications
perceptions risk risk attitudes risk management
2014/10/11
The comprehensive risk analysis of a business such as farming entails questions on what is at stake, how important is the risk concern and how to deal with it. We performed a sequential mixed method, ...
The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
oil prices panel data estimations the VIX
2014/7/24
The paper examines a systematic interrelationship between the world oil and agricultural commodity prices, taking the role of the USD and the perceived global market risks into consideration for the p...
Hedging techniques in commodity risk management
commodity risks hedging commodity derivatives
2014/7/9
The article focuses on selected aspects of risk management in agricultural business with the aim to discuss and compare different hedging methods which are relevant for managing the commodity risks as...
Crop plan optimization under risk on a farm level in the Czech Republic
crop plan crop rotation constraints optimization stochastic programming.
2014/3/28
h e precise agricultural operations research models claiming complex solutions and specialized software tools
may appear too complicated to truly support the decision making process on the farm leve...
Foresight on new and emerging risks associated with new technologies by 2020: Workshop for EU Focal Points
Foresight on new emerging risks associated new technologies Workshop EU
2014/4/24
This report describes a workshop, based on the Foresight on Green Jobs project and held in Bilbao on 12 and 13 November 2013 for the EU-OSHA Focal Points. The aims of the workshop were to raise the Fo...