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We investigate informal risk sharing using a dynamic network game model. In each round, a randomly selected agent experiences a negative shock, and the agent's friends decide whether to provide assist...
The pathogenesis of breast cancer is not the same in all countries and regions; therefore, some existing breast cancer risk assessment models are not well adapted to all countries and regions, includi...
Risk analysis is a critical part of the design, implementation and assessment of medical research and healthcare provision and development. It plays an active role from the design of clinical trials i...
近日,由教育部主管、山东大学主办的金融数学类专业学术期刊《Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk》(即《概率、不确定性与定量风险》,简称《PUQR》) 第一期正式在线发布。该刊由山东大学自然科学学报编辑部组织申报,由中国科协、财政部、教育部、国家新闻出版广电总局、中国科学院和中国工程院等六部委共同实施的“中国科技期刊国际影响力提升计划”提供专项...
The CreditRisk + model is widely used in industry for computing the loss of a credit port-folio. The standard CreditRisk + model assumes independence among a set of common risk factors, a simplified a...
Quantifying risks is of importance in insurance. In this paper, we employ the jackknife empirical likelihood method to construct confidence intervals for some risk measures and related quantities stud...
We give an account of the Pinsker bound describing the exact asymptotics of the minimax risk in a class of nonparametric smoothing problems. The parameter spaces are Sobolev classes or ellipsoids, and...
We consider the problem of learning a coefficient vector x0 ∈ RN from noisy linear observation y = Ax0 + w ∈ Rn. In many contexts (ranging from model selection to image processing) it is desirable to...
Consider estimating the mean vector  from data Nn(; 2I ) with lq norm loss, q  1, when  is known to lie in an n-dimensional lp ball, p 2 (0; 1). For large n, the ratio of minimax linear risk to...
Wavelets have motivated development of a host of new ideas in nonparametric regression smoothing. Here we apply the tool of exact risk analysis, to understand the small sample behavior of wavelet es...
We consider the problem of learning a coecient vector x0 2 R N from noisy linear observation y = Ax0 + w 2 R n. In many contexts (ranging from model selection to image processing) it is desirable to ...
In an increasing number of applications, it is of interest to recover an approximately low-rank data matrix from noisy observations. This paper develops an unbiased risk estimate—holding in a Gaussian...
In this paper, we study the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for the ordinary renewal risk model modified by the constant interest on the surplus. The time of ruin is analyzed in terms of it$\&...
In this paper, we consider a general insurance risk model in which the premium income process and the claim process are based on Cox processes. Exponential upper bounds for ruin probabilities are obta...
We consider risk minimization problems for Markov decision processes. From a standpoint of making the risk of random reward variable at each time as small as possible, a risk measure is introduced usi...

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