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The effects of zoning methods on forecasting of the next earthquake occurrences, according to semi-Markov models
Semi-Markov model Transition probability matrix Probabilistic forecasting Deterministic forecasting Forecasting error K94 zoning
2015/8/28
Earthquakes are natural phenomena that can be viewed in three dimensions: time, space and magnitude. Earthquakes can be investigated not only physically, but also mathematically. In this study, semi-M...
Aperiodicity in one-way Markov cycles and repeat times of large earthquakes in faults
Aperiodicity Markov cycle large earthquakes
2011/9/2
A common use of Markov Chains is the simulation of the seismic cycle in a fault, i.e. as a renewal model for the repetition of its characteristic earthquakes. This representation is consistent with Re...