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东亚夏季风对东亚地区有着重要的社会和经济影响，近年来，由东亚夏季风异常引发的旱涝灾害频繁发生，造成了严重的社会经济损失。
基于IPCC-CMIP5的中国东部近海表层水温未来预估分析
中国东部近海 海表温度SST 未来海温预估分析 IPCC-CMIP5
2020/12/25
近海海表温度（sea surface temperature，SST）的变化对我国沿岸海洋生态环境和渔业资源具有重要影响，研究其变化规律尤其是预估其未来变化一直是物理海洋学的重要研究课题。政府间气候变化专门委员会（Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change，IPCC）第五次评估报告（The fifth Assessment Report，AR5）对全球及部分...
Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100
microbial decomposition soil carbon
2014/12/19
Soil carbon storage simulated by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models varies 6-fold for the present day. Here, we confirm earlier work showing that this range already exists at the...
Intercomparison of temperature trends in IPCC CMIP5 simulations with observations, reanalyses and CMIP3 models
temperature trends IPCC CMIP5 simulations observations reanalysis CMIP3 models
2014/12/12
On the basis of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and the climate model simulations covering 1979 through 2005, the temperature trends and their uncertainties have been examined ...
Quality assessment concept of the World Data Center for Climate and its application to CMIP5 data
Quality assessment World Data Center
2014/12/10
The preservation of data in a high state of quality which is suitable for interdisciplinary use is one of the
most pressing and challenging current issues in longterm
archiving.
The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations
HadGEM2-ES CMIP5 centennial simulations
2014/12/9
The scientific understanding of the Earth's climate system, including the central question of how the climate system is likely to respond to human-induced perturbations, is comprehensively captured in...
MIROC-ESM 2010: model description and basic results of CMIP5-20c3m experiments
MIROC-ESM 2010 model description
2014/12/9
An earth system model (MIROC-ESM 2010) is
fully described in terms of each model component and their
interactions. Results for the CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) historical si...
应用CRU 3.1气温资料和GPCC V6降水数据，系统评估了国际耦合模式比较计划第5阶段（CMIP5）中17个耦合模式对全球典型干旱半干旱区的长期气候变化的模拟能力，并在此基础上分析了不同典型浓度路径（representative concentration pathways，RCPs）下典型干旱半干旱区未来的气候变化情景. 结果表明：大多数模式都能模拟出全球陆地以及典型干旱半干旱区观测气温时空...
21世纪东亚季风变化:CMIP3和CMIP5模式预估结果
全球变暖 东亚季风 气候模式 预估
2013/8/7
使用国际耦合模式比较计划第3和最新的第5阶段中共42个气候模式的数值试验结果, 首先定量评估了它们对于当代东亚冬、夏季风气候态的模拟能力; 而后在SRES A1B中等温室气体排放情景或者RCP4.5中等偏低辐射强迫情景下, 根据择优选取的31和29个气候模式分别对21世纪东亚冬、夏季风变化进行了预估研究. 结果表明: 相对于1980～1999年参照时段, 21世纪东亚冬季风强度整体上变化不大, 在...